Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232908           2          15          63          18           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109949           3           1          68          26           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.63000e-07           2           5          74          19           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       102.000           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             2.00        5.50       67.75       22.50        2.25     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B8.4