Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232770           1          16          63          18           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109308           4           3          73          19           1        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   3.52000e-07           3           4          76          17           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.50        6.00       68.75       20.50        2.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5