Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252703           2           5          66          26           1        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127442           2           0          64          30           4        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   1.07000e-06           1           0          26          59          14        M1.8
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50        5.50       54.75       33.25        5.00     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M4.9