Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246772           1           4          52          38           5        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117901           1           1          64          31           3        C5.1
GOES Xray  =   1.01000e-06           1           0          31          59           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.50        3.00       54.25       36.75        4.50     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.3