Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243208           1           0          68          27           4        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111689           2           4          63          29           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   9.79000e-07           1           0          35          54          10        M1.2
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             1.75        3.75       57.25       32.75        4.50     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1