Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248200           2           3          57          31           7        C6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114900           1           3          65          28           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.51000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.00        2.00       51.25       38.00        7.75     C8.8
 
realized                                                                                      M4.4