Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250538           3           2          68          21           6        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116390           1           2          65          28           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.55000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.50        1.00       58.25       32.00        7.25     C7.1
 
realized                                                                                      C9.0