Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243053           1           0          67          28           4        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111897           2           5          62          29           2        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-06           1           0          31          59           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =       111.000           1           0          56          35           8        C8.3
 
together                             0.75        1.50       54.25       37.75        5.75     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8