Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234609           5          11          59          22           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000949832           2          15          53          27           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   1.16000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       113.000           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             2.00        6.50       48.25       36.00        7.25     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M3.7