Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230507           2          20          58          17           3        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000952786           2          15          53          27           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   6.08000e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.25       10.75       57.75       27.25        3.00     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6