Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237803           1           7          66          20           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000997609           2          13          61          20           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   8.87000e-07           1           0          47          47           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.00        5.00       62.50       26.75        4.75     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7