Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246665           1           3          53          39           4        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00125126           2           2          65          27           4        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   9.11000e-07           1           0          46          46           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =       154.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.50       54.00       38.25        5.50     C8.3
 
realized                                                                                      C6.8