Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246175           1           3          56          38           2        C6.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123739           2           2          63          30           3        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   9.34000e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =       137.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.50       54.25       38.25        5.25     C8.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1