Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236624           2          13          57          22           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112522           2           5          61          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   6.18000e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.5
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.25        4.75       60.50       29.00        4.50     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4