Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250093           3           2          67          22           6        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120959           2           3          62          32           1        C5.9
GOES Xray  =   1.12000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.75        2.25       54.75       34.75        6.50     C7.6
 
realized                                                                                      M3.5