Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240626           1           6          63          23           7        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111883           2           5          62          29           2        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   7.97000e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.8
est. ISN   =       94.0000           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.00        2.75       61.50       29.25        5.50     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      M9.3