Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233114           2          15          63          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106470           3           5          69          18           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   4.99000e-07           2           1          63          34           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       90.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.00        5.25       67.25       22.50        3.00     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0