Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234872           5           9          59          24           3        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109812           3           2          70          23           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   5.47000e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       97.0000           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             2.50        2.75       65.75       25.75        3.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7