Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242683           1           0          64          30           5        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118550           1           1          61          34           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   8.10000e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =       99.0000           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             0.50        0.75       61.25       32.00        5.50     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7