Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236987           2          12          62          19           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115407           1           2          67          27           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   6.00000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       97.0000           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             0.75        3.75       65.25       26.25        4.00     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4