Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234478           5          11          63          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111774           2           5          63          28           2        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   5.01000e-07           2           1          61          35           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       82.0000           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.75        4.50       61.25       28.50        3.00     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8