Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244314           1           1          62          35           1        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122834           1           2          62          32           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   7.15000e-07           1           0          56          34           9        C8.5
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        2.25       58.50       34.25        4.25     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1