Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235815           3          13          57          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113447           1           4          63          29           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   5.33000e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       86.0000           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        4.50       62.00       28.50        3.75     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M6.5