Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233469           3          16          61          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107888           1           4          74          18           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   5.16000e-07           2           0          62          34           2        C6.1
est. ISN   =       119.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.50        5.00       62.25       27.75        3.50     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C8.3