Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228164           3          33          55           9           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101946           3          13          64          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.58000e-07           3           5          77          15           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       91.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.50       12.75       67.50       15.25        2.00     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8