Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230653           4          19          58          16           3        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105216           3           8          64          17           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   4.16000e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.75        8.50       65.25       20.25        4.25     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1