Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235961           2          13          58          23           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111630           3           4          62          29           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   5.66000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.25       10.25       63.00       21.25        3.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C9.4