Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236050           2          14          56          24           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110731           3           3          61          30           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   5.40000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       55.0000           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.00        9.75       61.50       24.00        2.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0