Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240308           1           6          63          23           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115179           1           3          66          26           4        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   7.26000e-07           1           0          54          35          10        C9.0
est. ISN   =       141.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        2.50       58.75       31.25        7.00     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0