Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245208           1           2          60          37           0        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122317           1           3          61          32           3        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   7.72000e-07           1           0          51          41           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =       134.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.25        1.50       56.25       37.75        4.25     C7.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7