Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244830           1           2          60          36           1        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122443           1           2          64          30           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   7.31000e-07           1           0          51          39           9        C9.6
est. ISN   =       130.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        1.25       56.75       36.50        5.00     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.4