Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233341           3          16          61          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106073           3           4          70          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   5.04000e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       10.00       63.75       21.50        2.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9