Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236589           2          13          57          22           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106595           3           4          70          18           5        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   5.70000e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C5.3
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.50        4.25       67.50       22.50        4.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M5.2