Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235890           3          13          58          23           3        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105802           3           4          67          18           8        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   5.87000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       93.0000           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             1.75        4.25       67.00       22.50        4.50     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8