Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238900           2           3          69          20           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111151           3           4          61          29           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   5.98000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       103.000           1           1          66          28           4        C5.5
 
together                             1.50        2.00       65.75       26.75        4.00     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3