Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235890           3          13          57          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108602           2           4          73          18           3        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   5.39000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       104.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.75        4.50       65.75       24.75        3.25     C5.1
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0