Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224767           5          47          44           4           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000907651           3          28          49          17           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   3.07000e-07           4          11          75          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             3.50       26.50       57.50       11.50        1.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3