Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222819           4          49          40           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000881115           1          36          52          11           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   2.62000e-07           1          31          62           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.50       36.00       53.50        7.75        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C6.4