Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221875           5          47          41           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000844829           6          52          36           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   3.00000e-07           3          20          69           8           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             3.75       34.25       52.75        9.00        0.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9