Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219703          10          44          40           6           0        B7.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809377          11          44          40           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   2.46000e-07           4          36          52           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             7.25       36.75       48.50        7.00        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7