Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220281           8          44          39           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000809604          10          44          41           5           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   2.42000e-07           3          35          53           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             6.75       43.25       42.50        7.50        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3