Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221201           6          42          43           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000826408           5          44          42           9           0        C1.3
GOES Xray  =   2.45000e-07           3          35          54           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             4.50       37.25       49.75        8.25        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4