Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221259           6          39          45          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000826063           6          43          42           9           0        C1.3
GOES Xray  =   2.40000e-07           3          33          54          10           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             3.75       33.25       52.25       10.50        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3