Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227995           3          32          57           8           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000913363           3          24          52          18           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   3.91000e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       92.0000           1           0          76          18           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.00       14.75       65.00       16.00        2.25     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0