Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241405           1           3          62          27           7        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109667           4           3          71          21           1        C4.0
GOES Xray  =   7.58000e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =       112.000           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.25        1.75       59.75       31.25        6.00     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      X2.2