Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248161           2           3          56          32           7        C6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117428           1           1          65          30           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.04000e-06           1           0          29          59          11        M1.5
est. ISN   =       120.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.00        1.00       50.50       40.50        7.00     C9.1
 
realized                                                                                      X1.0