Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247802           1           2          55          35           7        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118326           1           1          64          31           3        C5.6
GOES Xray  =   9.66000e-07           1           0          37          51          11        M1.2
est. ISN   =       126.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        0.75       52.00       39.50        7.00     C8.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.6