Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219813          10          42          41           7           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790560          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.72000e-07           1          35          58           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       55.0000           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             6.50       36.75       48.00        8.50        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0