Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231203           4          18          59          16           3        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938497           1          16          54          26           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   6.01000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             1.75       13.50       61.75       20.00        3.00     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2