Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236374           2          14          59          21           4        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106092           3           4          70          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   6.23000e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       91.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50        4.50       67.25       22.25        4.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4